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18 Feb 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.2%
Cove Rangers
25.0%
Draw
57.7%
Arbroath

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Cove Rangers

vs
1.93

Arbroath

Markets

BTTS55.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
8.8%
0-0
7.0%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-3
3.2%
0-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).