Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Oxford
34.8%
Draw
29.8%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Oxford
vs
0.86
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.555.6%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.2%
1-1
14.5%
1-0
14.4%
0-1
12.7%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).