Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.2%
Portsmouth
29.3%
Draw
47.6%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Portsmouth
vs
1.41
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.8%
0-0
10.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).