Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Martigues
22.5%
Draw
44.6%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Martigues
vs
1.61
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
0-0
4.3%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).