Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.2%
Juventus
18.9%
Draw
9.9%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Juventus
vs
0.59
Lecce
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
15.0%
3-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.6%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
5.1%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).