Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Alaves
29.6%
Draw
18.8%
Andorra
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Alaves
vs
0.63
Andorra
Markets
BTTS33.2%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.2%
0-0
15.1%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).