Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Espanol
26.2%
Draw
43.1%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Espanol
vs
1.50
Celta
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).