Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Sheffield United
25.3%
Draw
56.2%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Sheffield United
vs
1.72
Leeds
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).