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HHT: 00CSV

30 Mar 2019

Empoli

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.1%
Juventus
14.8%
Draw
8.2%
Empoli

Expected Goals (xG)

2.48

Juventus

vs
0.67

Empoli

Markets

BTTS44.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.2%
3-0
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
7.0%
4-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
4.2%
5-0
3.3%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).