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AHT: 13CSV

06 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.7%
Forfar
30.9%
Draw
37.4%
Annan Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Forfar

vs
1.35

Annan Athletic

Markets

BTTS54.8%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.8%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.0%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).