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19 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.7%
Sheffield United
30.0%
Draw
40.3%
Nott'm Forest

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Sheffield United

vs
1.26

Nott'm Forest

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).