Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Chesterfield
23.4%
Draw
37.2%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Chesterfield
vs
1.48
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
8.0%
0-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
5.4%
0-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).