Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Espanol
26.7%
Draw
19.6%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Espanol
vs
0.75
Logrones
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).