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04 Jan 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.4%
Leyton Orient
19.7%
Draw
17.0%
Shrewsbury

Expected Goals (xG)

1.94

Leyton Orient

vs
0.87

Shrewsbury

Markets

BTTS48.8%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.6%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
0-0
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).