Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.6%
Charlton
22.1%
Draw
15.3%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Charlton
vs
0.66
Wigan
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
2-0
13.6%
1-1
9.8%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
4-0
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).