Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.8%
Sampdoria
31.1%
Draw
23.2%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Sampdoria
vs
0.85
Bari
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
13.8%
0-0
12.9%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).