Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.6%
Nice
17.1%
Draw
14.2%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Nice
vs
1.01
Troyes
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
8.1%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.7%
2-2
4.8%
4-1
4.7%
4-0
4.6%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).