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07 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.6%
Bromley
17.7%
Draw
9.8%
Gateshead

Expected Goals (xG)

2.42

Bromley

vs
0.80

Gateshead

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.8%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.7%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).