Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Bologna
24.6%
Draw
24.5%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Bologna
vs
1.02
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).