Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Bari
32.2%
Draw
33.9%
Juve Stabia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Bari
vs
1.07
Juve Stabia
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
11.2%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
3-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).