Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.6%
Lille
19.4%
Draw
12.1%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Lille
vs
0.69
Clermont
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
2-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
9.1%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).