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DHT: 00CSV

10 May 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.2%
Amiens
16.7%
Draw
69.1%
Auxerre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Amiens

vs
2.30

Auxerre

Markets

BTTS53.4%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.6%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.1%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
1-0
4.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-1
3.9%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).