Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Frosinone
28.2%
Draw
30.4%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Frosinone
vs
1.21
Parma
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).