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HHT: 20CSV

27 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.9%
Crawley Town
25.8%
Draw
49.3%
Grimsby

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Crawley Town

vs
1.44

Grimsby

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).