Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.0%
Wrexham
25.6%
Draw
43.4%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Wrexham
vs
1.68
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.7%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).