Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.7%
Birmingham
14.3%
Draw
7.0%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Birmingham
vs
0.49
Burton
Markets
BTTS34.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.3%
1-0
14.9%
3-0
12.4%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
7.1%
1-1
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).