Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.0%
Nice
18.0%
Draw
65.1%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Nice
vs
2.28
Aris
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
7.4%
0-3
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
1-4
4.2%
0-4
4.0%
2-3
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).