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HHT: 20CSV

21 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.2%
Getafe
29.4%
Draw
23.3%
Sevilla

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Getafe

vs
0.81

Sevilla

Markets

BTTS40.4%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.5%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-2
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).