Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Freiburg
23.2%
Draw
26.2%
Wolfsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Freiburg
vs
1.38
Wolfsburg
Markets
BTTS65.0%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
0-1
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).