Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Monza
27.2%
Draw
21.7%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Monza
vs
0.98
Pisa
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.9%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).