Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Barnet
29.4%
Draw
33.3%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Barnet
vs
0.98
Colchester
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
0-1
13.3%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.5%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).