Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Brest
25.7%
Draw
35.6%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Brest
vs
1.27
Lille
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).