Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Valladolid
29.7%
Draw
41.7%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Valladolid
vs
1.16
Eibar
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).