Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.9%
Tottenham
21.7%
Draw
12.4%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Tottenham
vs
0.86
Leicester
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).