Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Bournemouth
25.8%
Draw
55.2%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Bournemouth
vs
1.83
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.8%
0-1
9.3%
0-0
7.4%
1-3
6.0%
0-3
6.0%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.0%
2-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).