Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Avellino
30.6%
Draw
37.3%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Avellino
vs
1.22
Livorno
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).