Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.2%
Sutton
26.8%
Draw
47.0%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Sutton
vs
1.34
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
10.0%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).