Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Cittadella
32.3%
Draw
36.4%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Cittadella
vs
1.12
Spezia
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).