Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.2%
Zaragoza
26.8%
Draw
42.0%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Zaragoza
vs
1.34
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).