Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.0%
Maidenhead
17.6%
Draw
72.4%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Maidenhead
vs
2.44
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
9.3%
0-1
8.7%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
5.7%
1-4
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).