Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Hamburg
22.3%
Draw
28.0%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Hamburg
vs
1.60
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS71.2%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.551.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-2
5.0%
1-0
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).