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14 May 2022 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.9%
Bielefeld
26.9%
Draw
53.2%
RB Leipzig

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Bielefeld

vs
1.58

RB Leipzig

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
10.8%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).