Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Leganes
26.3%
Draw
20.2%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Leganes
vs
0.79
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.4%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).