Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.7%
Dag and Red
20.2%
Draw
68.1%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Dag and Red
vs
2.17
Notts County
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.1%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
5.9%
0-4
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).