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07 May 2023 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.9%
Burton
25.5%
Draw
29.6%
Milton Keynes Dons

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Burton

vs
1.01

Milton Keynes Dons

Markets

BTTS45.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.9%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).