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24 Aug 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.8%
Värnamo
22.1%
Draw
52.1%
Häcken

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Värnamo

vs
2.21

Häcken

Markets

BTTS70.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.551.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-3
5.0%
0-1
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
0-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).