Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.6%
Venezia
25.5%
Draw
15.0%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Venezia
vs
0.76
Modena
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.4%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).