Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Barnsley
30.6%
Draw
33.1%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Barnsley
vs
1.10
Reading
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).