Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Sassuolo
21.3%
Draw
17.2%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Sassuolo
vs
1.12
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
4-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).