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AHT: 01CSV

28 Mar 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.8%
Boreham Wood
23.1%
Draw
24.1%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Boreham Wood

vs
1.32

Torquay

Markets

BTTS64.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
3-0
4.9%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).